Armidale

Tomorrow, November 18, 2024Flat6fSoft

Verdict

PARIS LAD (1) four runs back have been encouraging, and the tongue tie and visors go on for this. Gave his all with the 59kg when fourth over 1300m here on November 10. Will appreciate the claim and looks better than these. HOLY MACKEREL (4) shed her maiden status here last time out with a well-deserved victory over 1400m on November 10. In strong stable and Ashley Morgan retains the ride. Sure to be thereabouts again. HYPOTHERMIA (5) finally got off the mark at start 12 with a surprise win over 1410m at Grafton on October 29. Gets a great set up here and can take a hand in the finish. BEAR'S BEST (10) lone win came at this track and drops sharply in weight with the claim today. Held ground to the line when fifth over 1300m at Moree on November 1. Can add value to the exotics.

1. Paris Lad
4. Holy Mackerel
5. Hypothermia

Win Only

1. 1. Paris Lad
J: COBI VITLERT: BRETT CAVANOUGH
F: x3354
Price History:
3.20
Age:
4
Weight:
1-13
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
55
Days Since Last Run:
8
Verdict
Last start 4th of 9 at this track Ctry Cl1 on November 10 over 1300m, 2 len behind Princess Mary carrying 59kg at $2.10. The start before that 5th of 14 at Muswellbrook Cl1 on October 21 over 1450m, slow going 3 len behind Alice Mae carrying 58kg at $7. Ready to win.
4. 4. Holy Mackerel
J: ASHLEY MORGANT: LOU MARY
F: 66421
Price History:
3.50
Age:
5
Weight:
1-11
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
50
Days Since Last Run:
8
Verdict
Form hard to fault. Most recently raced right near the speed and boxed on; won by 1.5 len at this track Ctry Mdn November 10 over 1400m defeating Santos El Halper carrying 57.5kg at $2.50. The run before that made ground from midfield; 2nd of 11 at Quirindi Ctry Mdn on October 28 over 1450m, nose behind Coella with 55.5kg at $10. Well placed this time and expected to be in the finish.
5. 5. Hypothermia
J: LUKE ROLLST: JOHN SHELTON
F: x3581
Price History:
6.00
Age:
4
Weight:
1-11
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
50
Days Since Last Run:
20
Verdict
At the latest run won by 0.9 len at Grafton Ctry Mdn-Sw October 29 over 1410m in soft going defeating Golden Copper carrying 57kg at $21. The race before that eased back early on 8th of 10 at Murwillumbah Mdn on October 15 over 1200m, in the wet; 3.5 len behind Vocals carrying 55.5kg at $8.50. Will be hard to hold out.
10. 10. Bears Best
J: SIENA GRIMAT: MELANIE O'GORMAN
F: 42x85
Price History:
10.00
Age:
5
Weight:
1-11
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
44
Days Since Last Run:
17
Verdict
Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up from last on the turn 8th of 12 at this track Bm50 on October 26 over 1300m, slow going 3.5 len behind Dodgeball with 56.5kg at $13. Last start 5th of 9 at Moree Cl1 on November 1 over 1300m, 2.5 len behind Lesgo Don carrying 55kg at $12. Well placed. Should run well.
8. 8. Sheza Rainbird
J: BRAITH NOCKT: TODD HOWLETT
F: 57600
Price History:
11.00
Age:
4
Weight:
1-11
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
47
Days Since Last Run:
23
Verdict
Last start ran last of 10 at Mudgee Bm50 on October 26 over 1850m, 20 len behind Nevada Showgirl carrying 57.5kg at $10. The race before that second last of 14 at Muswellbrook Ctry Bm58 on October 7 over 1450m, 9 len behind Royal Teens with 55kg at $21. Looks safely held.
7. 7. See The Saint
J: COURTNEY BELLAMYT: JEREMY SYLVESTER
F: x0946
Price History:
17.00
Age:
4
Weight:
1-11
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
49
Days Since Last Run:
10
Verdict
Most recently got back early 6th of 12 at Kempsey Ctry Bm58 on November 8 over 1450m, 2.75 len behind The Coat Hanger with 54kg at $21. The run before that 4th of 9 at Narromine Cl1 on October 19 over 1200m, on a slow track; 2.5 len behind Rothgate with 52kg at $9.50. Can take a hand in the finish.
11. 11. Cashmere Inn
J: SHANNEN LLEWELLYNT: STEPHEN DIXON
F: 38333
Price History:
13.00
Age:
6
Weight:
1-11
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
44
Days Since Last Run:
8
Verdict
At the latest run set the pace for much of the race 3rd of 9 at this track Ctry Cl1 on November 10 over 1300m, 1.3 len behind Princess Mary with 53kg at $26. The start before that set the pace for much of the race 3rd of 9 at Moree Cl1 on November 1 over 1300m, 1.5 len behind Lesgo Don with 53kg at $81. Prefer others.
12. 12. St Roy
J: LEESHELLE SMALLT: MICHELLE FLEMING
F: 2x289
Price History:
19.00
Age:
5
Weight:
1-11
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
44
Days Since Last Run:
13
Verdict
Most recently second last of 10 at Tamworth Bm50 on November 5 over 1400m, 4 len behind Glorien carrying 56.5kg at $4. Before that 8th of 10 at Quirindi Cl1 on October 28 over 1100m, 3.5 len behind Voigner carrying 53kg at $41. Can't recommend.
9. 9. Anazarli
J: JACK BAKERT: LEA SELBY
F: 52966
Price History:
21.00
Age:
8
Weight:
1-11
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
44
Days Since Last Run:
13
Verdict
Most recently 6th of 10 at Tamworth Bm50 on November 5 over 1400m, 2 len behind Glorien carrying 56.5kg at $12. The run before that did the work up front then tired 6th of 9 at Quirindi Cl1 on October 28 over 1450m, 2.5 len behind I'm Scarlett with 53kg at $26. Looks tested in this line-up.
2. 2. Rock Are Steiner
J: PETER GRAHAMT: PETER GRAHAM
F: 72109
Price History:
21.00
Age:
5
Weight:
1-12
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
51
Days Since Last Run:
10
Verdict
Last start 9th of 12 at Kempsey Ctry Bm58 on November 8 over 1450m, 4.5 len behind The Coat Hanger with 58kg at $19. Before that ran last of 12 at Port Macquarie Ctry Bm58 on October 27 over 1509m, 6 len behind Xtra Approval carrying 58.5kg at $15. Hard to have.
6. 6. Rethink It
J: MIKAYLA WEIRT: TERRY VIDLER
F: 60946
Price History:
21.00
Age:
5
Weight:
1-11
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
49
Days Since Last Run:
8
Verdict
At the latest run from last on the turn 6th of 9 at this track Ctry Cl1 on November 10 over 1300m, 3.5 len behind Princess Mary carrying 53.5kg at $26. The race before that 4th of 9 at Grafton F&M Bm58 on October 29 over 1181m, on a slow track; 2.5 len behind Uncut Gem with 57kg at $21. Others rate better.

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