Cranbourne

Saturday, November 23, 2024Flat5f

Verdict

BARAQIEL (2) has the ratings to take this out. His win two back in the Group 2 Mcewen Stakes at Moonee Valley was very good in fast time, which saw him start $12 in the Group 1 Champions Sprint at Flemington, running well. He's very much suited at the set weights and back around a bend. NADAL (12) is a promising sprinter who looked unlucky not to win at Flemington, held up when getting clear and flashing late. The wide draw should suit his pattern and he's capable of measuring up strongly. REY MAGNERIO (6) beat Nadal at Flemington, showing good heart to break a run of placings. He's a strong chance. ARKANSAW KID (1) struggled in the G3 Sydney Stakes last time but had been flying prior and can bounce back. OSCAR'S FORTUNE (3) needs to get back to his best but that would have him right in the mix.

2. Baraqiel
12. Nadal
6. Rey Magnerio

Win Only

2. 2. Baraqiel
J: BEN ALLENT: L & T CORSTENS & W LARKIN
F: 33116
Price History:
2.63
Age:
6
Weight:
1-13
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
105
Days Since Last Run:
14
Verdict
Most recently 6th of 12 at Flemington in the G1 Vrc Classic on November 9 over 1200m, 2.25 len behind Sunshine In Paris with 58.5kg at $12. The race before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily; won by 2.75 len at Moonee Valley G2 Mcewen October 26 over 1200m defeating I Am Unstoppable carrying 58.5kg at $3.50. The performance two back just wins this.
12. 12. Nadal
J: ETHAN BROWNT: CIARON MAHER
F: 6x414
Price History:
6.00
Age:
4
Weight:
1-12
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
85
Days Since Last Run:
14
Verdict
Recent form sound. Last start 4th of 13 at Flemington in the LR Mss Security on November 9 over 1200m, 0.7 len behind Rey Magnerio carrying 54kg at $3.30. Before that favourite; won by 1.75 len at Caulfield Bm78 October 16 over 1100m defeating Kin carrying 60kg at $3.30. Unlucky last time, he's got the turn of foot to win this.
6. 6. Rey Magnerio
J: JYE MCNEILT: R GRIFFITHS & M DE KOCK
F: x3221
Price History:
6.00
Age:
5
Weight:
1-12
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
98
Days Since Last Run:
14
Verdict
Recent form sound. Last start came from midfield and won by a head at Flemington LR Mss Security November 9 over 1200m defeating Front Page carrying 55kg at $4. The start before that 2nd of 13 at Flemington in the G3 Rising Fast on November 2 over 1200m, nose behind Maharba with 54kg at $4.50. Racing very well and should take beating.
1. 1. Arkansaw Kid
J: BLAKE SHINNT: BEN, WILL & JD HAYES
F: 12120
Price History:
7.50
Age:
4
Weight:
1-13
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
104
Days Since Last Run:
35
Verdict
Useful type. Comes here off a 35-day let-up. Last start 10th of 18 at Randwick in the G3 Sydney Stks on October 19 over 1200m, slow going 5.5 len behind Overpass with 58.5kg at $7. The race before that crossed from a wide gate to lead but couldn't hold on when 2nd of 12 at Flemington in the G2 Gilgai on October 5 over 1200m, slow going nose behind Right To Party with 59kg at $8. Can bounce back.
3. 3. Oscars Fortune
J: DAMIAN LANET: GAVIN BEDGGOOD
F: 5x286
Price History:
15.00
Age:
4
Weight:
1-13
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
106
Days Since Last Run:
16
Verdict
At the latest run 6th of 11 at Flemington in the LR Century Stks on November 7 over 1000m, 2 len behind Way To The Stars carrying 58.5kg at $6. Before that led to the turn then faded second last of 9 at Moonee Valley in the G2 Mcewen on October 26 over 1200m, 6 len behind Baraqiel carrying 58.5kg at $3.30. Just fair last time, his best would be very competitive.
8. Robrick
4. 4. Spacewalk
J: BEN MELHAMT: JAMES CUMMINGS
F: 9x302
Price History:
19.00
Age:
5
Weight:
1-13
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
101
Days Since Last Run:
16
13. Moby Dick
14. 14. Kristilli
J: JAMIE MOTTT: MICK PRICE & MICHAEL KENT JNR
F: 3969x
Price History:
31.00
Age:
4
Weight:
1-11
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
85
Days Since Last Run:
217
Verdict
First-up. Finished off last campaign ninth of 11 at Randwick in the G3 James Carr April 20 over 1400m, in the wet; 14 len behind Konasana carrying 57kg at $7. Previously first up; fourth of 7 at Rosehill in the G3 Southcross February 3 over 1200m, 3.5 len behind Lady Laguna with 53kg at $15. Prefer to see back in form.
7. 7. Who Dares
J: PATRICK MOLONEYT: PAT CAREY & HARRIS WALKER
F: 32438
Price History:
51.00
Age:
5
Weight:
1-12
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
95
Days Since Last Run:
21
Verdict
Last start sat on the speed throughout before fading 8th of 13 at Flemington in the G3 Rising Fast on November 2 over 1200m, 5.5 len behind Maharba carrying 54kg at $15. The race before that rolled along in front before being edged out 3rd of 15 at Caulfield in the LR Weekend Hussler on October 12 over 1400m, 3 len behind Jimmysstar carrying 55.5kg at $8.50. Can't see him winning.
5. Pounding
10. 10. Deepour
J: RHYS MCLEODT: NICK RYAN
F: 027x8
Price History:
34.00
Age:
7
Weight:
1-12
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
90
Days Since Last Run:
16
Verdict
Second run back. First-up after three months from last on the turn 8th of 11 at Flemington in the LR Century Stks on November 7 over 1000m, 2.25 len behind Way To The Stars carrying 57kg at $41. Previously second-up 7th of 16 at Eagle Farm in the G3 Wj Healy on June 29 over 1200m, 2.75 len behind Zarastro with 54kg at $41. Not good enough.
9. Cloudland
11. 11. Philosopher
J: HARRY COFFEYT: ENVER JUSUFOVIC
F: 39x54
Price History:
41.00
Age:
5
Weight:
1-12
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
86
Days Since Last Run:
16
Verdict
Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming 5th of 10 at Moonee Valley Qlty Hcp on October 26 over 1000m, 3 len behind Acromantula carrying 53.5kg at $8.50. Second-up sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 11 at Flemington in the LR Century Stks on November 7 over 1000m, 1.75 len behind Way To The Stars with 57kg at $61. This looks too tough.

Cranbourne

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