Cranbourne

Tomorrow, December 13, 2024Flat1m2f

Verdict

The record of MARAMA (10) doesn't look great with just one placing from seven starts, but two runs this time in suggest she's building up to a peak performance. Was 1600m up to 2050m when second up, when beaten only 2-3/4 lengths, so should derive great fitness benefit from that and this is not a strong race. GREAT PROSPERITY (3) is never far away and will appreciate a slight class drop here and his edge in fitness over Marama could prove telling. PALACE WINTER (5) is only second-up here but the first-up effort, when beaten just over three lengths, at Caulfield suggests he's got the talent to give this a shake. DEELER (2) only need to repeat the run from two starts back to be a factor and LARRYOCTANE (4), stablemate to Great Prosperity, might be ready to show something up to 2060m third-up after an improved effort last time out.

10. Marama
3. Great Prosperity
5. Palace Winter

Win Only

3. 3. Great Prosperity
J: DANIEL MOORT: LUKE OLIVER
F: 43343
Price History:
3.20
Age:
4
Weight:
1-13
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
0
Days Since Last Run:
26
Verdict
Recent form sound. At the latest run sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 10 at Donald Mdn-Sw on November 17 over 2200m, 1.5 len behind Crossoverkid carrying 59.5kg at $6. Before that 4th of 10 at Geelong Mdn-Sw on November 9 over 1720m, 2 len behind Kicking King carrying 59.5kg at $11. Been a model of consistency so capable of taking this out.
5. 5. Palace Winter
J: TIANNI CHAPMANT: RAYMOND N MATHEWS
F: 374x7
Price History:
4.00
Age:
4
Weight:
1-13
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
0
Days Since Last Run:
15
Verdict
Second-up. First-up after five months sat on the pace before fading 7th of 11 at Caulfield Heath Mdn-Sw on November 28 over 1500m, on a slow track; 3 len behind Lygon Street Luigi with 59.5kg at $26. Previously second-up eased back early on 7th of 9 at this track 3yo Mdn-Sw on May 31 over 1500m, on a slow track; 6 len behind Hot Pursuit with 58kg at $6.50. Encouraging effort first-up in a race much stronger than this.
10. 10. Marama
J: LOGAN BATEST: EMMA-LEE & DAVID BROWNE
F: 36x54
Price History:
4.75
Age:
4
Weight:
1-12
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
0
Days Since Last Run:
7
Verdict
Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming 5th of 14 at Moe Mdn-Sw on November 21 over 1600m, 5.5 len behind Aligning Stars with 57.5kg at $51. Second-up 4th of 10 at Moe Mdn-Sw on December 6 over 2050m, 3 len behind Ghemme carrying 57.5kg at $15. Racing well. Fitter for two runs back and this doesn't appear a strong race.
8. 8. Sergeant Mavers
J: WILL GORDONT: JOSEPH WALDRON
F: 0x094
Price History:
7.00
Age:
5
Weight:
1-13
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
0
Days Since Last Run:
13
Verdict
Last start 4th of 7 at Yarra Valley Mdn-Sw on November 30 over 1968m, on a wet track; 5.5 len behind Tsitsipas with 57.5kg at $5. The start before that second last of 10 at Moonee Valley Mdn-Sw on November 22 over 1600m, 11 len behind Canara carrying 59.5kg at $101. Maiden status should remain intact.
4. 4. Larryoctane
J: LIAM RIORDANT: LUKE OLIVER
F: 76x83
Price History:
8.00
Age:
4
Weight:
1-13
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
0
Days Since Last Run:
7
Verdict
Third-up today. First-up eased back early on 8th of 11 at Pakenham Mdn-Sw on November 8 over 1400m, 5.5 len behind Short Reply carrying 59.5kg at $19. Second-up 3rd of 11 at Moe Mdn-Sw on December 6 over 1600m, 5 len behind Steel Impact carrying 59.5kg at $14. On this improve this prep and drawn to settle a little closer up to this trip.
2. 2. Deeler
J: BEN ALLENT: SIMON ZAHRA
F: 0736
Price History:
7.50
Age:
4
Weight:
1-13
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
0
Days Since Last Run:
13
Verdict
Most recently second last of 7 at Yarra Valley Mdn-Sw on November 30 over 1968m, in the wet; 18 len behind Tsitsipas with 59.5kg at $5. The start before that sat on speed throughout when 3rd of 12 at Traralgon Mdn-Sw on November 2 over 1900m, 2.5 len behind Anointed Lad carrying 59.5kg at $15. Best efforts give him a chance.
6. 6. Rhett
J: TEODORE NUGENTT: AARON LAING
F: 6x665
Price History:
23.00
Age:
4
Weight:
1-13
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
0
Days Since Last Run:
7
Verdict
Last start 5th of 11 at Moe Mdn-Sw on December 6 over 1600m, 6 len behind Steel Impact with 59.5kg at $26. Before that 6th of 9 at Bairnsdale 4yo+ Mdn-Sw on November 19 over 1200m, 3 len behind Rebillyous carrying 59.5kg at $61. Impossible to make a case.
1. 1. County Kildare
J: JASON MASKIELLT: COLIN SCOTT
F: x5306
Price History:
26.00
Age:
4
Weight:
1-13
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
0
Days Since Last Run:
13
Verdict
At the latest run 6th of 9 at Yarra Valley Mdn-Sw on November 30 over 1514m, on a wet track; 8 len behind Sound It Out carrying 59.5kg at $11. The run before that 10th of 14 at Moe Mdn-Sw on November 21 over 1600m, 7 len behind Aligning Stars carrying 59.5kg at $61. Prefer to see him back in form.
7. 7. Rippleview Lad
J: NATHAN PUNCHT: DALE SHORT
F: 57x90
Price History:
51.00
Age:
6
Weight:
1-13
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
0
Days Since Last Run:
9
Verdict
Third-up today. First-up 9th of 11 at Traralgon Mdn-Sw on November 2 over 1100m, 4.5 len behind Zousinger with 55.5kg at $67. Last start second last of 12 at Caulfield Heath Mdn-Sw on December 4 over 1600m, 10 len behind Chosen Legend with 59.5kg at $201. Unlikely to threaten.
9. 9. Shootthelightsout
J: JAKE NOONANT: PAUL & TRACEY TEMPLETON
F: 60x00
Price History:
-
Age:
6
Weight:
1-13
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
0
Days Since Last Run:
7
Verdict
Third-up today. First-up second last of 13 at Moe Mdn-Sw on November 21 over 1200m, 12 len behind Proved with 59.5kg at $151. Second-up second last of 12 at Moe Mdn-Sw on December 6 over 1600m, 15 len behind Mixxit with 59.5kg at $81. Outclassed.

Cranbourne

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