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Flemington

Friday, October 4, 2024Flat1m

Liked the last start Sale maiden win of SCARY (5). He didn't beat much but ripped home in some big late splits and put a good margin on them over 1732m. There isn't much difference between maiden and Listed grade for these 3yo Derby hopefuls. SERGEANT MAJOR (2) was great fresh in the McKenzie Stakes before struggling in the Guineas Prelude. Now up in trip, he'll improve sharply. LAVALIER (4) was well backed to win the Derby Trial here and was okay in fifth. Has the run under the belt and can be better for it. GIDDY UP WARRIOR (3) was also good in the Derby Trial and has some claims. KEENELAND (6) looks an improving type.

R3 1800m Listed
  • 2. 2. Sergeant Major
    J: MARK ZAHRAT: CIARON MAHER
    F: 15x38
    Price History:
    3.00
    Age:
    3
    Weight:
    1-12
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    71
    Days Since Last Run:
    14
    Verdict
    Third-up today. Resuming 3rd of 8 at Moonee Valley in the LR Mckenzie on September 7 over 1200m, 2.25 len behind Angel Capital carrying 56kg at $12. Second-up 8th of 11 at Caulfield in the G3 Gneas Prel on September 21 over 1400m, 4.5 len behind Angel Capital with 56kg at $6.50. Gets up in trip now which will suit greatly.
  • 5. 5. Scary
    J: DAMIAN LANET: EMMA-LEE & DAVID BROWNE
    F: 021
    Price History:
    4.75
    Age:
    3
    Weight:
    1-12
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    63
    Days Since Last Run:
    24
    Verdict
    Racing well. Most recently favourite; won by 3.5 len at Sale Mdn-Sw September 11 over 1732m defeating It'sreel carrying 57kg at $2.60. The start before that 2nd in a small field at Geelong 3yo Mdn-Sw on September 1 over 1733m, 0.5 len behind King's Coronation with 58kg at $3.80. Dominant there and has more to offer.
  • 7. 7. Truth Or Dare
    J: MICHAEL DEET: MARK WALKER
    F: 4x31
    Price History:
    7.50
    Age:
    3
    Weight:
    1-12
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    63
    Days Since Last Run:
    16
  • 4. 4. Lavalier
    J: BEN MELHAMT: JAMES CUMMINGS
    F: 3135
    Price History:
    8.00
    Age:
    3
    Weight:
    1-12
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    64
    Days Since Last Run:
    13
    Verdict
    Useful type. Last start 5th of 13 at this track 3yo C&G-Swp on September 22 over 1800m, 2 len behind Stylish Secret with 56kg at $3.30. The start before that 3rd of 9 at Moonee Valley 3yo Hcp on August 24 over 1523m, slow going 3 len behind Evaporate with 59.5kg at $5. Has the right platform to go close in this.
  • 6. 6. Keeneland
    J: JOHN ALLENT: TRENT BUSUTTIN & NATALIE YOUNG
    F: 421
    Price History:
    9.00
    Age:
    3
    Weight:
    1-12
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    62
    Days Since Last Run:
    8
    Verdict
    Recent form sound. Last start favourite; raced right near the speed and boxed on; won by 3 len at Benalla Mdn-Sw September 27 over 1606m defeating El Paso with 57kg at $1.70. The start before that held ground to the line 2nd of 10 at Benalla Mdn-Sw on September 3 over 1612m, nose behind Thunder Force with 57kg at $2.60. Harder here but looks to have good staying ability.
  • 3. 3. Giddy Up Warrior
    J: LUKE CURRIET: BEN, WILL & JD HAYES
    F: 5214
    Price History:
    9.50
    Age:
    3
    Weight:
    1-12
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    64
    Days Since Last Run:
    13
    Verdict
    At the latest run tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 13 at this track 3yo C&G-Swp on September 22 over 1800m, 2 len behind Stylish Secret with 57kg at $5. The start before that ran on from midfield and won by 0.5 len at Sandown-Hillside 3yo Mdn-Sw September 4 over 1500m defeating Brullen carrying 58kg at $2.30. Solid each way claims.
  • 1. 1. Red Aces
    J: JAMIE MOTTT: NICK RYAN
    F: 31x0
    Price History:
    10.00
    Age:
    3
    Weight:
    1-12
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    67
    Days Since Last Run:
    14
    Verdict
    Second-up. First-up after two months second last of 11 at Caulfield in the G3 Gneas Prel on September 21 over 1400m, 9 len behind Angel Capital carrying 56kg at $61. Previously second-up ran on from midfield and won by 0.8 len at this track 2yo Hcp July 20 over 1800m in soft going defeating Politely Dun carrying 57.5kg at $6.50. Will improve up in trip but might need one more.
  • 11. 11. Femminile
    J: DANIEL STACKHOUSET: PHILLIP STOKES
    F: 61x9
    Price History:
    12.00
    Age:
    3
    Weight:
    1-11
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    70
    Days Since Last Run:
    14
  • 8. 8. Stranglehold
    J: ETHAN BROWNT: TRENT BUSUTTIN & NATALIE YOUNG
    F: 1
    Price History:
    19.00
    Age:
    3
    Weight:
    1-12
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    63
    Days Since Last Run:
    18
    Verdict
    Getting off the mark on debut; ran on from midfield and won by 2.25 len at Wodonga Mdn-Sw September 17 over 1400m defeating Just Like Hank with 57kg at $8.50. Meets a tough line-up and prefer others.
  • 10. 10. Sir Kenny
    J: CRAIG NEWITTT: MICK PRICE & MICHAEL KENT JNR
    F: 3
    Price History:
    71.00
    Age:
    3
    Weight:
    1-12
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    60
    Days Since Last Run:
    15
    Verdict
    Was well in the market at debut, rolled along in front before being edged out 3rd of 11 at Ballarat Mdn-Sw on September 20 over 1400m, on a slow track; 1.75 len behind Superluminal carrying 57kg at $5. Not keen on his chances.
Non-Runners
  • 9. 9. El Paso
    J: KOBY JENNINGST: M, W & J HAWKES
    F: 5x72
    Price History:
    34.00
    Age:
    3
    Weight:
    1-12
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    59
    Days Since Last Run:
    8
    Verdict
    Third-up today. Resuming 7th of 14 at Sale Mdn-Sw on September 11 over 1206m, 3.5 len behind The Mansman carrying 57kg at $26. Second run from a spell 2nd of 12 at Benalla Mdn-Sw on September 27 over 1606m, 3 len behind Keeneland carrying 57kg at $5. Meets a tough line-up and prefer others.
Win or Each Way
Each Way terms: 1/5 odds for first 3 places

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