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Flemington

Today, October 5, 2024Flat6f

ARRAN BAY (5) boasts an outstanding second up record (4 wins from 5 starts), and typically improves his rating each time. He wasn't far off his best fresh over this track and trip on wet ground and firmer footing here will only suit better. Looks a great each way bet. Huge watch on ROYAL CHAMPION (1). His overseas form would blow these away but he's off a year's break, big weight, wide draw, over a trip well short of his best. Market will be key. COIN TOSS (10) won easily fresh first up last time in before starting in the market in a couple of good form races. He's right in this. MAKRAM (8) was fine fresh at this track and can improve.

  • 5. Arran Bay
  • 1. Royal Champion
R6 1400m Listed
  • 1. 1. Royal Champion
    J: MARK ZAHRAT: A & S FREEDMAN
    F: 13x2x
    Price History:
    4.50
    Age:
    6
    Weight:
    2-0
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    109
    Days Since Last Run:
    363
    Verdict
    Group 1 placegetter. Back from a long spell. Finished off last campaign rolled along in front before being edged out 2nd of 8 at Woodbine in the G1 Canadian Intnl on October 8 over 2012m, 2.25 len behind Nations Pride with 57kg at $6.10. Was runner-up in a trial at Sunshine Coast Inner Track on April 30 over 1000m. Very talented horse, fresh over this trip with the weight is the leveller.
  • 5. 5. Arran Bay
    J: DANIEL STACKHOUSET: PHILLIP STOKES
    F: 511x4
    Price History:
    5.50
    Age:
    6
    Weight:
    1-11
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    98
    Days Since Last Run:
    21
    Verdict
    Second run back. First-up after five months 4th of 15 at this track in the LR Tontonan on September 14 over 1400m, on rain affected going; 4 len behind Chrysaor carrying 55.5kg at $12. Previously second-up won by 0.8 len at this track Bm84 March 2 over 1400m defeating So Risque with 60.5kg at $4. Absolutely flies second up, should take beating.
  • 9. Comrade Rosa
  • 3. 3. Jigsaw
    J: ETHAN BROWNT: CINDY ALDERSON
    F: 5335x
    Price History:
    7.00
    Age:
    6
    Weight:
    1-12
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    100
    Days Since Last Run:
    105
    Verdict
    Group 2 winner. Gelding returning from a spell and has won previously when first up. Finished off last preparation fifth of 11 at Ipswich in the LR Eye Liner June 22 over 1350m, soft track; 2.5 len behind At Witz End with 59kg at $7. When resuming last campaign second last of 7 at Caulfield Vgold Comet March 16 over 1000m, 2.25 len behind Lempicka carrying 61kg at $5.50. Fresh at this trip looks a big ask.
  • 13. Plenty Of Ammo
  • 4. 4. Itsourtime
    J: BEN MELHAMT: DANNY O'BRIEN
    F: 21356
    Price History:
    9.00
    Age:
    7
    Weight:
    1-11
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    99
    Days Since Last Run:
    14
  • 10. Coin Toss
  • 8. Makram
  • 12. Promises Kept
  • 11. Flash Flood
  • 6. 6. Not An Option
    J: PATRICK MOLONEYT: MICHAEL MORONEY & GLEN THOMPSON
    F: 148x9
    Price History:
    41.00
    Age:
    7
    Weight:
    1-11
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    98
    Days Since Last Run:
    21
    Verdict
    Group 2 winner. Second-up. First-up after seven months second last of 10 at this track in the G2 Bobbie Lewis on September 14 over 1200m, in the wet; 14 len behind Arkansaw Kid with 54.5kg at $41. Previously second-up 6th of 11 at this track in the LR Headquarters on October 7 over 1400m, 4 len behind Tamerlane with 57kg at $13. Will need to lift.
  • 2. 2. Uncle Bryn
    J: LUKE CURRIET: TRENT BUSUTTIN & NATALIE YOUNG
    F: 010x0
    Price History:
    71.00
    Age:
    6
    Weight:
    1-13
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    104
    Days Since Last Run:
    21
    Verdict
    Group 3 winner. Second run back. First-up after a year got back early 12th of 15 at this track in the LR Tontonan on September 14 over 1400m, on a wet track; 9 len behind Chrysaor carrying 58.5kg at $41. Previously second-up eased back early on 11th of 14 at Caulfield in the LR Heatherlie Hcp on September 2 2023 over 1700m, 4.5 len behind Soulcombe with 58.5kg at $13. Will need to lift.
Non-Runners
  • 7. 7. Von Hauke
    J: DAMIAN LANET: CLIFF BROWN
    F: 715x8
    Price History:
    6.00
    Age:
    5
    Weight:
    1-11
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    98
    Days Since Last Run:
    14
    Verdict
    Group 3 winner. Second run back. First-up after six months 8th of 11 at Caulfield Bm100 on September 21 over 1100m, 5.5 len behind Jimmysstar with 59kg at $26. Previously second-up won by a neck at this track G3 Shaftesbury Ave March 9 over 1400m defeating Amenable carrying 54kg at $8. Expecting sharp improvement.
Win or Each Way
Each Way terms: 1/4 odds for first 3 places

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